Ed Miliband will be a stellar PM - here's the four reasons why

The next election is now less than ten months away, and is set to be perhaps the most unpredictable in decades. Labour still has a fairly stable lead, but late swings to the government are often seen closer to the time, raising the prospect of another hung parliament or Tory-led government if we are not careful. In recent months, the issue of Ed Miliband’s leadership has also flared up - just this week, the Evening Standard has claimed he is the leader the public would least like to meet on holiday - though if the Labour movement is honest with itself, these questions had never truly “gone away” since he was elected in 2010. This makes it clear that if Labour is to win, it must make the rest of the country certain of Ed’s capabilities as a potential Prime Minister. So here, as someone who backed Ed Miliband then and still does, I state my four-point case.

1.     He has a new vision for a reformed society

Ed Miliband has a bold vision to change Britain’s society, our economy and government to address the fundamental structural problems we suffer from. These problems have been long in the making and won’t be easy to fix, but the flaws in the very foundations of our economy have become painfully clear since the crisis of 2008. Similarly, the rot at the heart of our government has also come into sharp focus, thanks to events like the expenses scandal of 2009.

Ed Miliband and his infrastructure guru Lord Adonis launch
the Adonis Review at the Airedale International plant, Leeds (from Flickr)
 Ed and his team believe that we should decentralise power in Britain – this will mean strengthening local government, community organisations like cooperatives, and local businesses. On the economic front, greater powers to raise and spend public money at the city, county or regional level will allow local council leaders spend money based on immediate economic needs. This will strengthen local economies and help the SMEs that live within them, gradually making our economy less London-centric, less dominated by larger or multinational corporations and, crucially, less dependent on financial services and property (a key factor in 2008). On the political front, a greater role for local government and communities will give people greater say over the public services they rely on and the way that their taxpayer money is spent, improving accountability and repairing the tattered relationship between people and the public officials.

Ed also believes that the Britain’s compassionate welfare state, the one which Labour proudly founded in 1945, needs to change if it is to survive. The public now feel that the link between contribution and benefits and the “something for something” pact underpinning welfare have been eroded over time. Some people pay National Insurance and contribute to their communities their entire lives, only to see those who seem to have put in less getting more, or sometimes abusing the system outright. To address this, Labour has suggested that those who have paid into the system for longer should be properly compensated when they fall on hard times and that an individual’s work in the community should be taken into account when they are waiting for social housing, for example. At the same time, Ed Miliband’s broader economic reforms will aim to ensure that stable, well-paid work is available for all again. This is the fairest and most sensible way to make sure that welfare goes back to being a social security mechanism, not a way of life. In the process, it will reduce the benefits bill, cutting the deficit.

However, while Ed Miliband believes that government needs to be decentralised and reformed, and while he also knows that being prudent with spending will be vital if he is going to eliminate our deficit by 2019 like he and Ed Balls have promised to do, he nevertheless believes that government has a productive role to play in society. This is the overriding difference between him and David Cameron.

Ed still wants government to use its unique powers to break up and regionalise our ‘too big to fail’ banking sector, to tackle tax avoidance and to take on the monopolistic utilities providers and train companies that rip off British consumers. He believes only the government can ensure the big long-term investments needed for key economic infrastructure, such as transport. He believes government can tackle the growing inequality in our society by promoting simple “pre-distributive” economic measures like the Living Wage, which will make work pay. He believes it can also use tax incentives and its huge contracting powers to promote more responsible corporate behaviour and create more apprenticeships for struggling young people. And above all, Ed still believes that a good education can be the silver bullet that gives even the most disadvantaged child the hope of a better life, and that our treasured National Health Service needs to be well-funded and geared to the needs of an ageing population.

That is Ed’s One Nation vision for our society – a fairer and more balanced economy, supported by a reliable, responsive and trustworthy state. A plan this wide-ranging will take years to bring about and can sometimes be hard to break down into the sort of digestible sound-bites the media likes to hear. But it is clear, it is well-thought out and achievable – a plan for us all to aspire to.

2.     He will secure our national identity

On top of tackling the core challenges ordinary people have faced in our economy and with our state, Ed’s One Nation Labour project is also addressing Britain’s deep-seated cultural and social insecurities, which Labour has all too often ignored in the past.

Ed speaks about One Nation Labour, 2013 (from Flickr)
To do this, Ed has had to take on and defeat two powerful orthodoxies in Labour. One the one hand, figures associated with the traditional left have often misread and derided this part of the One Nation agenda as xenophobic, chauvinist and “pale, male and stale”. But perhaps more importantly, Ed has also had to convince the guardians of New Labour - typically portrayed as more in touch with “middle England” than him - to come round to his view on these matters. For example, it was Tony Blair who wrote off Ed Miliband’s hope to address widespread anxiety on matters like immigration and globalisation as the “Labour equivalent of warm beer and old maids bicycling” (a derisive reference to John Major’s “back to basics” small-c conservatism). Ed’s firm stand on this, against both Labour’s old left and its neo-liberal Blairite right, is one of the clearest signs of his distinctive ‘Milibandite’ vision. In his very first conference speech, it was exactly this that Ed was speaking of when he called for the party to move beyond New Labour:

“The world was changing all around us - from global finance to immigration to terrorism - New Labour, a political force founded on its ability to adapt and change, lost its ability to do so. The reason was that we too often bought old, established ways of thinking and over time, we just looked more and more like a new establishment”

Labour was often seen to shut down debate on immigration in the Blair era, and there are still too many on the left who are deeply uncomfortable on the subject. But it is a top concern for the public, one that has left the working class feeling insecure and pushed lifelong Labour voters into the arms of the Tories and UKIP. Ed Miliband is a son of Jewish refugees who fled here amid the Holocaust, and so is a product of Britain’s noble tradition of taking in those who are in need and willing to work hard to make a life here. Ed’s anger when the Daily Mail slandered his Navy veteran father was understandable for this very reason, and he has been equally willing to go toe-to-toe with UKIP when some of Nigel Farage’s rhetoric has crossed the line of acceptability. Ed also believes migrants can still make a valuable contribution to our NHS and public services, and that the Tories’ overly simplistic ‘cap’ approach has harmed our economy, for example by deterring foreign students and investors.

However, Ed has also made clear that Labour needs to understand that widespread public concern about immigration is not simply about prejudice and cannot be ignored. He has admitted Labour got it badly wrong about the scale of Eastern European migration, and that we need stronger EU transition controls. He has pledged that a Labour government will reduce non-EU migration, prevent employers using migrant labour to undercut the minimum wage - which harms British workers and migrants alike - and will guarantee that those who do settle here must learn English, as this is vital for cohesion. This is the only way we will make immigration work for Britain.

Ed campaigns on a soapbox, 2013 (from Flickr)
Ed also wants to address the questions that face our historic union, like the illusive concept of ‘Britishness’ and the place of English nationalism within it. As well as kick-starting our imbalanced economy and making our public services responsive, his plans to grant far more powers to England’s localities and regions will also help to address its place in the union, answering the call for more devolution without resort to an expensive, over-centralised new English Parliament. At the same time, Labour backs more powers for the Welsh Assembly. And as we speak, Labour’s leadership is proving critical in seeing-off the single greatest challenge to the stability of our United Kingdom - Scottish independence. David Cameron and the Tories, long since having lost their way as a One Nation party, have been unable to confront Alex Salmond’s reckless populism due to their unpopularity north of the border. Instead, it is thanks to former Labour Chancellor Alastair Darling’s sterling efforts that the smart money remains on our 307 year-old union probably enduring. One Nation Labour is ensuring that we will not lose 5.3 million citizens, one-third our territory and 8.3% of our tax base (not counting North Sea oil) overnight in September.

Finally, Ed Miliband has sought to set a course on what our membership of Europe should, and shouldn’t, mean to Britons. Ed is clear that EU membership remains a non-negotiable part of our national interest, for several simple reasons. We are stronger economically when we are part of the world’s single-largest trading bloc, we are taken more seriously by key partners such as the US and China as a member, and we are more able to protect ourselves against modern security threats like terrorism, organised crime, pandemics and climate change when we work with our European partners. This is why Ed’s instinct as a leader has been to resist the call for an immediate in-out referendum, because he doesn’t think Britain should play with fire when our economy is still weak and our world is increasingly unstable.

But just as with immigration, Ed knows that the fact that the EU is a net benefit for the UK doesn’t mean that Labour can be blind to its flaws or public unease. This is why Labour has stood against further integration into the EU, both opposing Jean-Claude Juncker for Commission President and refusing to back the Party of European Socialists’ own pro-integration Commission candidate, Martin Schulz of Germany. Ed has pledged that next time a treaty change occurs that transfers additional sovereignty to Brussels, the British public will get an in-out referendum on the matter. Labour is calling for reforms that will give Britain more veto over Brussels policies that go against our interests, including a “red card” system where any initiative opposed by several national governments will be automatically defeated. Labour and its trade union partners are working to ensure that the Trans-Atlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) free trade deal with the USA will protect key services like the NHS from forced privatisation. And when David Cameron called for the EU budget to be frozen, Ed Miliband instead ordered Labour’s Westminster MPs and MEPs to vote for an outright cut in the budget, as if we face tough spending decisions at home, it is only fair that the same happens in Brussels.

So that will be Ed Miliband’s Britain. Tough, smart and fair on immigration. Highly engaged in Brussels, but not a slave to it. And secure in a more devolved, but more stable, United Kingdom.

3.     He will be a strong leader in the world

A key aspect of the premiership is to be Britain’s face in the world and the civilian head of our armed forces, our “commander in chief”, as the Americans would call it. It’s always been hard for Labour to win on these issues, even in the New Labour years (Tony Blair was initially nicknamed “bambi” in 1997, hard as that is to comprehend now). Nevertheless, Labour still needs to lay out its case. Here’s why we should all be at ease with Prime Minister Miliband leading Britain in the world.

Ed Miliband meets with UK officials in Helmand,
Afghanistan, May 2012 (from Flickr)
First and foremost, on the biggest foreign policy decision of our time, Ed called it right when most of Labour and Conservative frontbenchers got it badly wrong. In 2003 while away teaching at Harvard University, Ed tried to persuade close friends that Blair was wrong to be siding with Bush on Iraq and UN inspectors needed more time to check for WMDs. He even called Gordon Brown, urging him to stop the march to war. For this reason alone, electing him leader was a wise decision, much as how Americans opted for Obama in 2008 over the pro-invasion opponents he faced in the primary and general elections.

Further, one of Ed’s first acts as Labour leader was to state clearly that the war was a mistake and something Labour needed to draw a line under, something his brother was reluctant to do. Going down the road untraveled, it is hard not to wonder whether David Miliband’s support for the war would have haunted Labour this year when the ISIS-inflicted chaos in Iraq rose to the top of news agenda. On the road we did take, Ed’s stance had certainly shown his profound judgement.

Even where I have personally disagreed with Ed’s foreign policy conclusions, most notably on Syria last year and this year on Gaza, I respect that he has made his voice heard as an opposition leader, brought significant pressure to bear on the government and spoken from principle and for much of the public. Ed has now made clear that a cornerstone of Labour’s defence policy will be the renewal of Britain’s Trident nuclear deterrent – this is again something I have personally had questions about, but I do recognize it shows Miliband’s resolve to offer continuity and security to the public in a time of global turmoil. No one could say he was weak on these issues or ineffectual in his advocacy for them, and I am confident that Ed will put these abilities to good use in the many areas where his views are more closely aligned with my own.

Ed Miliband has also led a Labour Party that has sought to remind people that we are the true party of national defence - it was the reforming left-wing Attlee government that brought Britain into NATO and authorised our original nuclear deterrent, after all. Labour has spoken out against coalition cutbacks that have made over 30,000 military personnel unemployed, cost more than they have actually saved and prompted warnings about both our joint operability with the US and about our ability to defend the Falklands in a hypothetical second conflict (we’ve also been here before – it’s too often forgotten that Tory defence austerity rendered the Falklands open to attack the first time around and left our squaddies nicknamed “the borrowers” by their Gulf War allies in 1991). 

Labour is laying out an alternative plan for a 21st century defence posture, one which will re-strengthen our forces while tackling new threats like cyber-warfare. The party has founded Labour Friends of the Forces to improve Labour’s relationship with the community and make it easier to recruit Labour MPs from forces backgrounds. Charismatic ex-Para Dan Jarvis MP is now a member of Ed’s front bench team, and after May, he will be joined by talented veterans like Sophy Gardner, Jon Wheale and Clive Lewis. And at home, Labour wants to strengthen financial and medical support for our servicemen and women and will make discrimination against them a crime, to better protect them from extremist groups like Luton’s Islam4UK.

Finally, the measure of a leader is someone who can do, not just say. At the 2009 Copenhagen Summit on climate change, then-Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change Ed Miliband was Britain’s man at the negotiating table. Green issues might not always be at the forefront of voters’ minds, but it’s hard to say that even any of our biggest immediate challenges are as severe as the long-term threat the planet we all have to live on is facing. The UN-backed Copenhagen Accord brought Britain together with the US, China, India, South Africa, Brazil and the EU. It made sustainable growth an international priority and committed these diverse countries to better transparency standards, ensuring that everyone else is playing by the same rules as Britain.

Ed & Douglas Alexander MP at
  the Copenhagen Summit, 2009 (from Flickr)
During the Copenhagen negotiations, Ed Miliband was also clear about Britain’s goals and took no prisoners when they were under threat – at one point he warned other delegates “We’re now getting close to midnight in this negotiation and we need to act like it. That means more urgency to solve problems, not just identify them, more willingness to shift from entrenched positions and more ambitious commitments.” Speaking truth to world power, Miliband specifically called out China for its unconstructive opposition to a deal, uncowed by Beijing’s rising position in the world. Environmental journalist Fred Pearce went as far as to credit Ed Miliband with saving the accord at the last minute with one of his interventions.

Ed & shadow Foreign Secretary Douglas Alexander
meet with President Barack Obama, July 2014 (Flickr)
So, Ed Miliband was one of the few at the top who had the judgement and foresight to oppose perhaps the greatest foreign policy mistake of our generation. He has been clear in his stances on international affairs, even when I have occasionally found myself in disagreement with him. He will keep Trident, is challenging a reckless Tory-led government that assumes it deserves the public’s trust on national defence, and will look after our returning heroes. And at Copenhagen, he was a strong negotiator who took on the world’s great powers to secure a fair deal for Britain that would protect our environment. Beyond doubt, he is qualified to be our face in the world.

4.     Ed as person: honest, in-touch and experienced

Lastly, even putting his vision for the country and policy positions aside, Ed is also to be respected simply for his fundamental decency and talent as a person. For all the flack he takes from the press, you wouldn’t know that research has found that the public feel this somewhat as well. While they may have other doubts about him, the people have consistently rated Ed as both more honest and more in touch with ordinary people than David Cameron.

Ed with his wife, Justine Thornton meeting people
at the National Council of Voluntary Organisations, 2011 (Flickr)
To me, Ed’s essential honesty shined through in one of the darkest moments in British politics. Amid the expenses scandal in 2009, the right-leaning Telegraph rated him as one of the few “saint” MPs (one who made only a small amount of the basic office claims that the system was intended for). It’s also a matter of public record that both David Cameron and some of Ed’s Labour leadership rivals had less than stellar records. Now granted, some have pointed out to me that this is at best a relative virtue – “Ed: not corrupt like the others” isn’t a slogan that should send any voter running to their nearest polling station. But all the same, the fact that Ed resisted the flimsy, “everyone-else-is-at-it” moral relativism that his colleagues mostly fell prey to is a small hint of the strength of his personal character. More importantly, it also puts him in a much better starting position to be the sincere reformer British politics now so desperately needs.

The fact the public see Ed as more in touch is also significant. Yes, Ed comes from a north London academic family, and his upbringing was steeped in politics, thanks to his father’s left-wing associations. But that upbringing still taught him the One Nation values he feels are shared by Britain at large:

“I want to talk to you about the idea of One Nation. The idea of a country which we rebuild together, where everyone plays their part…It is rooted deep in the soul of the British people. Deep in the daily way we go about our lives. Our relationships with our family, our friends, our neighbours. We know this idea is a deep part of our national story because we have so many different ways of describing it. “All hands to the pump.” “Mucking in.” “Pulling your weight.” “Doing your bit.” And every day we see it at work in our country. On Christmas Day, I helped out somebody down the street from me who makes Christmas lunches for elderly people in the area living on their own, it’s that spirit.”

In one simple aspect of his life, Ed is also far closer to most of us than much of our current political class - he spent his formative years at a state comprehensive, Haverstock. The public often complain that too many of our politicians come from elite institutions, not because they are envious, but simply because they want politicians who understand their own constituents’ daily lives and struggles. Only about 7% of the public attend fee-paying private schools. 34% of our MPs, 54% of Tory MPs, and all three of the other party leaders - Cameron, Clegg and Farage - did. Some of Ed’s critics have sometimes tried to portray Haverstock Comprehensive as a kind of fashionable “Eton of the left”, though former pupil Andrew Anthony has been less complementary about the conditions at the school around that time (“although it's true that in the 70s the school contained a significant minority of children from the Hampstead and Primrose Hill intelligentsia, violence was rife in and out of the classroom, police were regularly called to the school gates to quell mass fights, and the ethos was embarrassingly unacademic”). This basic bit of life experience is one that Ed has been able to speak about:

“I went to my local comprehensive with people from all backgrounds. I still remember the amazing and inspiring teaching I got at that school…It was a really tough school, but order was kept by one of the scariest headmistresses you could possibly imagine, Mrs Jenkins…I wouldn’t be standing on this stage today without my comprehensive school education”

The modern Haverstock School,
where Ed went in the 80s (Flickr)
I also want to defend Ed’s personal character on another point. Ed has often been accused of unfair play and jibed in PMQs, simply because he dared to stand for the leadership in 2010 at the same time as David Miliband. The reason I’ve always found this charge ridiculous is simple - it was a democratic leadership election, in which any Labour MP who thought they had what it took was entitled to stand. The tacit implication that David somehow had “more right” to be leader, seemingly without having to prove it in open competition, goes against my values as both a Briton and a Labour member. What’s more, evidence has again shown that Ed’s critics have been out of touch with the public here anyway – YouGov found 58% agreed "there was nothing wrong with Ed Miliband standing against his brother and seeing who won" (only 17%, mostly Tories, actually disagreed).

Meanwhile, Ed’s fierce intelligence, varied life experience and devotion to public service can never be in doubt. As a teenager, he was a reviewer for the LBC Radio show Young London, and spent part of his childhood in America (he is still a fan of the Boston Redsox baseball team). Studying hard at Haverstock, he left with A Levels in maths, physics and English, before going on to study Philosophy, Politics and Economics at Corpus Christi College, Oxford. A few years later, he would also earn a master’s degree in Economics from the LSE. After university, Ed briefly worked for Channel 4, but was soon recruited as an economic researcher for the Labour opposition’s frontbench Treasury team – in this role, Miliband crafted Blair, Brown and New Labour’s election-winning economic policies for 1997 and beyond. 

In 2002-2003, Ed then briefly returned to the US, where he taught economics to young students at the prestigious Harvard University and served as a link between Gordon Brown and then-presidential candidate John Kerry (now the US Secretary of State). In 2005, he stood in Doncaster North, taking on the challenge of being the local MP for a rural part of Yorkshire, hard-hit by the decline of the coal industry. A year later, he joined the Cabinet Office, coordinating policy across the government and working to strengthen the charitable sector. Rising to become Labour’s chief manifesto writer before the 2010 election, it was Ed who fought hard to include common-sense policies like the Living Wage in Labour’s offer to the country last time around, laying the groundwork for what he would go on to do as leader.

Ed Miliband at conference, 2012 (from Flickr)
Even I am not completely blind to the common charge that Ed is ‘weird’ in some ways – photogenic pictures of him can be hard to come by and reportedly, he can solve a Rubik’s cube in 90 seconds. But in an age when few of our political leaders are truly normal, Ed still checks all the essential boxes. Remarkably, he is somehow the only current party leader who knows what it was like to attend a state comprehensive, bringing him closer to the life experiences of 93% of the people he represents than any one of his rivals. At the heart of government and amid massive corruption, he proved himself to be one of few honest men, positioning him well to fix our broken political system. He has immense intelligence and experience crafting economic policy, including the ones that saw us through the boom years before the global financial crash of 2008. And he has a long record of devoted public service. We can ask for little more from a potential prime minister.

So there you go, spread the word. Ed Miliband is the man we need leading us right now.

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